Medicare Advisor Match

IRMAA Two-Year Look-Back Calendar: When Your Income Sets Your Medicare Premiums

Medicare doesn't look at what you're earning today to set your premiums — it looks at what you earned two years ago. That two-year gap is the central mechanic behind IRMAA planning. Understanding exactly which income year determines each premium year, and which windows are still open, is where every meaningful IRMAA strategy starts.

The core rule: your 2024 income sets your 2026 Medicare premiums. Your 2026 Part B and Part D premiums are based on your 2024 Modified Adjusted Gross Income (MAGI) as reported to the IRS. The Social Security Administration uses the most recently filed tax return on file, which for 2026 premium-setting purposes was your 2024 return filed in spring 2025.1

The full look-back calendar

Each row shows which income tax year sets which Medicare premium year, and the planning status as of September 2026.

Income tax year Sets Medicare premiums for Status (September 2026) Still actionable?
2022 2024 Closed No
2023 2025 Closed No
2024 2026 Locked — premiums set in Nov 2025 Only via SSA-44 if qualifying life event in 2024–25
2025 2027 Setting now — 2027 brackets expected Nov 2026; 2025 return on file with IRS Only via SSA-44 if qualifying life event in 2025–26
2026 ← you are here 2028 OPEN — ~3 months remain Yes — act before Dec 31, 2026
2027 2029 Open — ~15 months remain Yes — long-range planning now
2028 2030 Open — ~27 months remain Yes — structural strategies (Roth conversions, RMD modeling)

Who this matters most for right now

If you are 62–63 in September 2026 and will enroll in Medicare in 2028, your income for the rest of 2026 directly sets your very first Medicare premium. That is the highest-leverage planning window in your Medicare lifetime — your starting IRMAA tier may persist for years if your income stays stable. A Roth conversion that is $10,000 too large in 2026 could cost you $1,148 or more per year in extra Part B and Part D surcharges for as long as your income remains in that tier.

If you are already on Medicare, the look-back calendar explains why your premiums changed. If your 2024 income included a one-time event — a business sale, a large Roth conversion, a deferred compensation payout — that income is inflating your 2026 premiums even though the event is over. The SSA-44 can help if a qualifying life event reduced your income.

What you can still do before December 31, 2026

As of September 2026, the 2026 tax year is still open. Each strategy below reduces your 2026 MAGI and therefore your 2028 Medicare premiums:

Strategies that required earlier setup and are no longer available for 2026: 409A deferred compensation payment elections (must be made 12+ months in advance), new cash balance plan installments (plan must exist), and installment sale gross profit percentage elections on property already sold. If these apply to your 2027 or 2028 income, now is the time to structure them.

Estimate your 2028 Medicare premiums based on 2026 income

Enter your projected 2026 MAGI below. The calculator uses 2026 IRMAA brackets as a planning baseline — 2028 thresholds will be inflation-adjusted and are not yet published.

3 months left to reduce your 2028 Medicare premiums.

A Medicare-specialist advisor models your exact 2026 income trajectory — Roth conversion sizing, QCD vs. IRA withdrawal tradeoffs, capital gain timing — and identifies the specific dollar savings available before December 31. Most strategies must be executed before year-end.

Get 2026 year-end IRMAA modeling →

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The SSA-44 exception: bypassing the look-back

The two-year look-back has one statutory exception. If you experienced a qualifying life-changing event that significantly reduced your income, you can file SSA Form SSA-44 to request that SSA use your current-year (lower) income instead of the look-back year's income.4

The seven qualifying life-changing events:

  1. Marriage
  2. Divorce or annulment
  3. Death of a spouse
  4. Work stoppage (retirement or cessation of employment)
  5. Work reduction (significant reduction in hours or pay)
  6. Involuntary loss of income-producing property (fire, flood, theft)
  7. Loss or reduction of certain pension income (employer settlement, plan termination)

How SSA-44 maps to the look-back calendar: If you retired in 2025 and your 2025 income was much lower than your 2024 income, the SSA will still use 2024 MAGI to set your 2026 premiums — unless you file SSA-44 showing that your 2025 income dropped due to retirement. The appeal uses your most recent year's income (projected or filed) as the new basis. A retirement in 2026 lets you request that SSA use 2026 income to set 2028 premiums immediately, rather than waiting for the look-back to self-correct in 2028.

What SSA-44 cannot do: The appeal is not available for voluntary business sales, large Roth conversion years, capital gain realizations, or RMD spikes. Those are not qualifying life-changing events. If your 2024 or 2025 MAGI was elevated by one of these, the path forward is income reduction strategies for 2027 and 2028. See: IRMAA appeal guide and SSA-44 walkthrough.

The 2027 premium situation: currently being set

As of September 2026, your 2027 Medicare premiums are being set based on your 2025 MAGI. The 2027 IRMAA brackets have not yet been published — the SSA typically announces them alongside the Part B premium announcement in November of the prior year. When announced, the thresholds will be inflation-adjusted from the 2026 levels. If your 2025 income was high due to a qualifying life event you experienced in 2025 or 2026, file SSA-44 before your 2027 premiums are finalized.

  1. SSA POMS HI 01101.020: IRMAA Sliding Scale Tables — statutory basis for the two-year look-back rule and the MAGI-to-tier premium mapping. All bracket values verified here for 2026. The SSA uses the MAGI from the most recently filed tax return, typically two calendar years prior. Statutory authority: 42 U.S.C. §1395r.
  2. IRS: Retirement Plans FAQs — IRA Withdrawals and Distributions — qualified charitable distributions under IRC §408(d)(8); 2026 annual QCD limit of $111,000 per person per IRS Rev. Proc. 2025-67. QCDs reduce AGI directly and therefore reduce IRMAA MAGI.
  3. IRS: Retirement Topics — 401(k) and Profit-Sharing Plan Contribution Limits — 2026 employee deferral limit $24,500; catch-up $8,000 at age 50+; super catch-up $11,250 at ages 60–63 per SECURE 2.0 §109. Pre-tax contributions reduce AGI and IRMAA MAGI.
  4. SSA Form SSA-44: Medicare Income-Related Monthly Adjustment Amount — Life-Changing Event — the seven qualifying life-changing events and the process for requesting use of current-year income to bypass the two-year look-back.
  5. CMS: 2026 Medicare Parts A & B Premiums and Deductibles — official CMS fact sheet confirming Part B base premium $202.90/month and IRMAA surcharge tiers used in this page's calculator. November 2025.

IRMAA bracket values verified as of September 2026 against SSA POMS and CMS sources. Calculator uses 2026 brackets as a planning baseline for 2028; actual 2028 thresholds will be inflation-adjusted and announced November 2028. Content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, tax, or legal advice.

Get your 2026 income modeled before year-end

A Medicare-specialist advisor builds a full income projection: Roth conversion sizing, QCD timing, capital gain realization, retirement plan contributions — all mapped against the look-back calendar and your specific IRMAA bracket cliffs. If you are enrolling in Medicare in 2028, there are still three months to act. Free match, no obligation.

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